Current Positions of
Governments
Position of
Russia
Vladimir Putin approved the treaty on
November 4, 2004 and Russia officially notified the United Nations
of its ratification on November 18, 2004. With that, the Russian
ratification is complete. The issue of Russian ratification was
particularly closely watched in the international community, as the
accord was brought into force 90 days after Russian ratification
(February 19, 2005).
President Putin had earlier decided in
favor of the protocol in September 2004, along with the Russian
cabinet, against the opinion of the Russian Academy of Sciences, of
the Ministry for Industry and Energy and of the then president's
economic advisor, Andrey Illarionov, and in exchange to EU's support
for the Russia's admission in the WTO. As anticipated after this,
ratification by the lower (22 October 2004) and upper house of
parliament did not encounter any obstacles.
The Kyoto Protocol limits emissions to
a percentage increase or decrease from their 1990 levels. Since 1990
the economies of most countries in the former Soviet Union have
collapsed, as have their greenhouse gas emissions. Because of this,
Russia should have no problem meeting its commitments under Kyoto,
as its current emission levels are substantially below its
targets
It is debatable whether Russia will
benefit from selling emissions credits to other countries in the
Kyoto Protocol.
Position of the European Union
On May 31, 2002, all fifteen
then-members of the European Union deposited the relevant
ratification paperwork at the UN. The EU produces around 22% of global greenhouse gas
emissions, and has agreed to a cut, on average, by
8% from 1990 emission levels. The EU has consistently been one of
the major supporters of the Kyoto Protocol, negotiating hard to get
wavering countries on board.
In December, 2002, the EU created a
system of emissions trading in an effort to meet these tough
targets. Quotas were introduced in six
key industries: energy, steel, cement, glass, brick making, and
paper/cardboard. There are also fines for member
nations that fail to meet their obligations, starting at €40/ton of
carbon dioxide in 2005, and rising to €100/ton in 2008. Current EU
projections suggest that by 2008 the EU will be at 4.7% below 1990
levels.
The position of the EU is not without
controversy in Protocol negotiations, however. One criticism is
that, rather than reducing 8%, the EU should cut 15% as they said
they would during the negotiation. Also, emission levels of former
Warsaw Pact countries who now are members of the EU have already
been reduced as a result of their economic restructuring. This may
mean that the region's 1990 baseline level is inflated compared to
that of other developed countries, thus giving European economies a
potential competitive advantage over the U.S.
Both the EU (as the European
Community) and its member states are signatories to the Kyoto
treaty.
Position of Germany
On June 28, 2006, the German
government announced it would exempt its coal industry from
requirements under the Kyoto agreement. Claudia Kemfert, an energy
professor at the German Institute for Economic Research in Berlin
said, "For all its support for a clean environment and the Kyoto
Protocol, the cabinet decision is very disappointing. The energy
lobbies have played a big role in this decision."
Position of the United Kingdom
The energy policy of the United
Kingdom fully endorses goals for carbon dioxide emissions reduction
and has committed to proportionate reduction in national emissions
on a phased basis. The United Kingdom is a signatory to the Kyoto
Protocol.
To date (September 2006), there is no
legislative framework in place within the UK to guarantee
year-on-year reductions in emissions of carbon dioxide and other
greenhouses gases. However, 380 out of 659 Members of Parliament
have signed Early Day Motion 178 expressing their support for the
introduction of a Climate Change Bill that will address this issue,
making a proposed 3% annual cut in carbon dioxide emissions legally
binding. There is also a strong lobby from environmental
organizations, such as Friends of the Earth's Big Ask Climate
Campaign to get the Climate Change Bill included in the
Parliamentary agenda for 2006-7.
Position of the United States
The United States (U.S.), although a
signatory to the protocol, has neither ratified nor withdrawn from
the protocol. The signature alone is mostly symbolic, as the
protocol is non-binding over the United States unless
ratified.
On July 25, 1997, before the Kyoto
Protocol was finalized (although it had been fully negotiated, and a
penultimate draft was finished), the U.S. Senate unanimously passed
by a 95-0 vote the Byrd-Hagel Resolution (S. Res. 98), which stated
the sense of the Senate was that the United States should not be a
signatory to any protocol that did not include binding targets and
timetables for developing as well as industrialized nations or
"would result in serious harm to the economy of the United States".
On November 12, 1998, Vice President Al Gore symbolically signed the
protocol. Both Gore and Senator Joseph Lieberman indicated that the
protocol would not be acted upon in the Senate until there was
participation by the developing nations. The Clinton Administration
never submitted the protocol to the Senate for
ratification.
The Clinton Administration released an
economic analysis in July 1998, prepared by the Council of Economic
Advisors, which concluded that with emissions trading among the
Annex B/Annex I countries, and participation of key developing
countries in the "Clean Development Mechanism" - which grants the
latter business-as-usual emissions rates through 2012 - the costs of
implementing the Kyoto Protocol could be reduced as much as 60% from
many estimates. Other economic analyses, however, prepared by the
Congressional Budget Office and the Department of Energy Energy
Information Administration (EIA), and others, demonstrated a
potentially large decline in GDP from implementing the
Protocol.
The current President, George W. Bush,
has indicated that he does not intend to submit the treaty for
ratification, not because he does not support the Kyoto principles,
but because of the exemption granted to China (the world's second
greatest emitter of carbons) and also the strain he believes the
treaty would put on the economy; he emphasizes the uncertainties
which he asserts are present in the climate change issue.
Furthermore, the U.S. is concerned with broader exemptions of the
treaty. For example, the U.S. does not support the split between
Annex I countries and others. Bush said of the treaty:
“This is a challenge that requires a
100% effort; ours, and the rest of the world's. The world's
second-largest emitter of greenhouse gases is China. Yet, China was
entirely exempted from the requirements of the Kyoto Protocol. India
and Germany are among the top emitters. Yet, India was also exempt
from Kyoto … America's unwillingness to embrace a flawed treaty
should not be read by our friends and allies as any abdication of
responsibility. To the contrary, my administration is committed to a
leadership role on the issue of climate change … Our approach must
be consistent with the long-term goal of stabilizing greenhouse gas
concentrations in the atmosphere.”
Despite its refusal to submit the
protocol to Congress for ratification, the Bush Administration has
taken some actions towards mitigation of climate change. In June
2002, the American Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) released
the "Climate Action Report 2002". Some observers have interpreted
this report as being supportive of the protocol, although the report
itself does not explicitly endorse the protocol. At the G-8 meeting in June
2005 administration officials expressed a desire for "practical
commitments industrialized countries can meet without damaging their
economies". According to those same officials, the United States is
on track to fulfill its pledge to reduce its carbon intensity 18% by
2012. The United States has signed the Asia Pacific Partnership on
Clean Development and Climate, a pact that allows those countries to
set their goals for reducing greenhouse gas emissions individually,
but with no enforcement mechanism. Supporters of the pact see it as
complementing the Kyoto Protocol while being more flexible, but
critics have said the pact will be ineffective without any
enforcement measures.
The Administration's position is not
uniformly accepted in the U.S. For example, Paul Krugman notes that
the target 18% reduction in carbon intensity is still actually an
increase in overall emissions.
The White House has also come under criticism for downplaying
reports that link human activity and greenhouse gas emissions to
climate change and that a White House official and former oil
industry advocate, Philip Cooney, watered down descriptions of
climate research that had already been approved by government
scientists, charges the White House denies. BBC (2005) Critics point
to the administration's close ties to the oil and gas industries. In
June 2005, State Department papers showed the administration
thanking Exxon executives for the company's "active involvement" in
helping to determine climate change policy, including the U.S.
stance on Kyoto. Input from the business lobby group Global Climate
Coalition was also a factor.
Furthermore, supporters of Kyoto have
undertaken some actions outside the auspices of the Bush
Administration. In 2002, Congressional researchers who examined the
legal status of the Protocol advised that signature of the UNFCCC
imposes an obligation to refrain from undermining the Protocol's
object and purpose, and that while the President probably cannot
implement the Protocol alone, Congress can create compatible laws on
its own initiative. Nine north-eastern states and 194 mayors from US
towns and cities, have pledged to adopt Kyoto-style legal limits on
greenhouse gas emissions. On August 31 2006, the California
Legislature reached an agreement with Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger
to reduce the state's greenhouse-gas emissions, which rank at
12th-largest in the world, by 25 percent by the year 2020. This
agreement effectively puts California in line with the Kyoto
initiative.
Position of Canada
On December 17, 2002, Canada ratified
the treaty. While numerous polls have shown support for the Kyoto
protocol at around 70%, there is still some opposition, particularly
by some business groups, non-governmental climate scientists and
energy concerns, using arguments similar to those being used in the
US. There is also a fear that since US companies will not be
affected by the Kyoto Protocol that Canadian companies will be at a
disadvantage in terms of trade. In 2005, the result was limited to
an ongoing "war of words", primarily between the government of
Alberta (Canada's primary oil and gas producer) and the federal
government. There were even fears that Kyoto could threaten national
unity, specifically with regard to Alberta.
After January 2006, the Liberal
government was replaced by a Conservative minority government under
Stephen Harper, who previously has expressed opposition to Kyoto.
During the election campaign, Harper stated he wanted to move beyond
the Kyoto debate by establishing different environmental controls.
Rona Ambrose, who considers the emission trading concept to be
flawed, replaced Stéphane Dion as the environment
minister.
On April 25, 2006, Ambrose announced
that Canada would have no chance of meeting its targets under Kyoto,
and would look to participate in U.S. sponsored Asia Pacific
Partnership on Clean Development and Climate. "We've been looking at
the Asia-Pacific Partnership for a number of months now because the
key principles around [it] are very much in line with where our
government wants to go," Ambrose told reporters. On May 2, 2006, it
was reported that environmental funding designed to meet the Kyoto
standards has been cut, while the Harper government develops a new
plan to take its place.
A private member's bill, Bill C-288,
has been put forth by Pablo Rodriguez, Liberal Member of Parliament
for the riding of Honoré-Mercier. The bill aims to force the
minority government of Stephen Harper to "ensure that Canada meets
its global climate change obligations under the Kyoto Protocol."
With the support of the Liberals, the New Democratic Party and the
Bloc Québécois, and with the current minority situation, this bill
has a fair chance of being passed - despite the fact that private
member's bills rarely succeed in becoming law. If passed, the bill
would force Harper's government to form a Climate Change Plan within
6 months of the bill receiving royal assent.
Position of Australia
Despite the fact that Australia was at
the time of the negotiation already one of the biggest emitters on
per capita basis, the country was granted a target of 8% increase.
This is because Australia used its relative smallness as a
negotiation tool while other big players were negotiating. The
result of the negotiation was reported in the Australian media as
being to Australia's advantage.
Nonetheless, the Australian Prime
Minister, John Howard, has refused to sign the Agreement and has
argued that the protocol would cost Australians jobs, and that
Australia is already doing enough to cut emissions. This is despite
the fact that the Australian government is keen to reduce Greenhouse
gas emissions and has pledged $300 million over the next three
years. The Federal Opposition, the Australian Labor Party, is in
full support of the protocol and it is currently a heavily debated
issue within the political establishment. The opposition claims
signing the protocol is a "risk free" prospect as they claim
Australia would already be meeting the obligations the protocol
would impose. This claim relies heavily on changes to land clearing
policies that can only occur once, while ongoing emission sources
have all increased substantially. As of 2005, Australia was the
world's largest emitter per capita of greenhouse gases.
The Australian government, along with
the United States, agreed to sign the Asia Pacific Partnership on
Clean Development and Climate at the ASEAN regional forum on 28 July
2005. Furthermore, the Australian state of New South Wales (NSW)
commenced The NSW Greenhouse Gas Abatement Scheme (GGAS). This
mandatory greenhouse gas emissions trading scheme commenced on 1
January 2003 and is currently being trialed by the state government
in NSW alone. Uniquely this scheme allows Accredited Certificate
Providers (ACP) to trade emissions from householders in the state.
As of 2006 the scheme is still in place despite Prime Minister John
Howard's clear dismissal of emissions trading as a credible solution
to climate change. Following the example of NSW, the National
Emissions Trading Scheme (NETS) has been established as an
initiative of State and Territory Governments of Australia, all of
which have Labor Party governments. The focus of NETS is to bring
into existence an intra-Australian carbon trading scheme and to
coordinate policy developments to this end. According to the
Constitution of Australia, environmental matters are under the
jurisdiction of the States, and the NETS is intended to facilitate
ratification of the Kyoto Protocol by the Labor Party when they
return to power on the Federal level.
Position of China
China insists that the emissions level
of any given country is a multiplication of its per capita emission
and its population. Because China has emplaced population control
measures while maintaining low emissions per capita, it should
therefore in both the above aspects be considered a contributor to
the world environment. China considers the criticism of its energy
policy unjust.
Position of India